Archive | Betting Diary

RSS feed for this section

The secret art of getting on

A follow up to the last post about Hugh Taylor and the difficulty of  obtaining the prices that are quoted in the column. On Saturday 14th April a selection was posted at 10am (Secret Art)- the advised odds were 22/1 . By 10.02 Ladbrokes and Hills  had cut their prices to 12/1. Stan James had gone to SP while they panicked. If anyone had got on in that 120 seconds then fairplay to them but your account would surely have been marked. This is an extreme example but again is posted as a warning to anyone who thinks that blindly following Hughs selections without considering what the implications of the […]

Hugh(e) Variance

Im not entirely sure that that post title works but lets stick with it for the time being. Heres a question for my thousands of avid readers. If you read the following write up would you get involved?: There’s not much that I’d get excited about today, but RAASHDY might have a bit better chance than his odds suggest in the second division of the 1m2f handicap at Chelmsford this evening (8.45) and he’s the each-way suggestion for small stakes. It’s not hard to find the negatives to his chance, as you’d expect of one at his price, as his recent form has mirrored that of his stable, which hasn’t had a […]

Hidden Gold

I saw written recently somewhere ( could I be more vague?)  that the power of the internet makes us all lazy. I think thats actually quite true as we are becoming more and more accustomed to finding out all the information we require ( or think we do) by just pressing a couple of buttons on our PC’s. Anything that requires a bit more effort and people just don’t want to know. I always laugh when I see that tv advert with Christino Ronaldo on it with one of those electronic abs machines- seriously??? I wonder how many “larger” people have bought that thinking all they have to do is […]

True odds True Results

With the football season fast approaching (did it ever end?) I thought it might be interesting to post up some details on the results of the Racing and Football Outlooks True Odds service. For those unfamiliar- they work out the “true odds” (strangely enough given the title) of various football matches with the idea being that if you can then get better odds then that then this is the path to success. As (hopefully) everyone involved in betting knows then this beating of the “true odds” is the only way anyone is really going to succeed in the betting game. There are two issues here  1) The ability to get […]

Time flies

Wow. Time flies when you’ve got screaming kids! Its been over 6 months since the last blog piece and while bloggers normally stop posting because they either have nothing interesting left to say (that never ever stopped me) or its no fun posting about losing, the simple fact is that with three kids under three, time is so limited that every waking moment seems to be taken up. Betting wise its been actually ok. With the emphasis very much on the “ok” though. Golf wise, Jeremy Chapman in the RFO is level for the year although he would have been nicely ahead as he had tipped Justin Rose at the […]

Winning together losing on your own….

… is an often repeated manta in the betting industry and one that Ive mentioned a few times in the blog., after all no one ever walked into work and said ” put one hundred pounds on a horse on Saturday and it fell at the first”. Betfair Pro trader is a recent addition to my blog roll and this post sums it up quite nicely. http://www.betfairprotrader.co.uk/2016/06/if-you-must-publish-profit-loss-blog.html . I’d like to think that I’m quite open about how my  escapades into the different markets are faring and recently I’ve noticed that I’ve had a number of questions on the different sports I get involved in. Rather than do one long incredibly boring […]

Being more transparent….

AP’er commented on my last post that “It would be more interesting if you updated your blog at regular intervals rather than simply when you have a good week. Shame could be decent if you were more transparent”..The definition of which is “open,frank,candid”. Im not entirely sure what constitutes “regular intervals’ and having just become a father to not one but two, time consuming, puking, crying and  crapping little beauties its a little difficult to get the time to post on here whether the news is good or bad. However the comment did make me realise that some of my record keeping was a bit flaky (of the home made […]

Bookies and BT….

Both a bit shambolic really . The attached video by Caan Berry is excellent regarding bookies (and gets almost to “rant” status which made me smile!)  Apologies are also due to Caan as he asked me to list his excellent blog on my blogroll ages ago and I never got round to it. Its added now and you can find it here. When I’ve been on the night shifts recently I’ve decided to do something positive with my time and I have been working my way through a selection of his videos on youtube. I’d thoroughly recommend them to anyone interested in trying to understand trading on Betfair or simply […]

No LoveMark!

Jason Lovemark stopped the winning run of the Racing Posts Steve Palmer at the weekend when his 1.5ew 80/1 pick managed to get himself into the lead on Sunday night before making a few double bogeys and bottling it. Despite that setback it was another great weekend of golf betting with Jeremy Chapman coming to the party in the form of Jason Duffner  winning at 40/1. Duffner battled it out with David Lingmerth who was a 70/1 selection from Nics picks so it made for very comfortable and enjoyable viewing and meant that Lovemark was soon forgotten about. Bryan who runs NicsPicks is constantly altering his staking pattern and ideas […]

There is a light……..

And it never goes out. That’s my bedside reading light at the moment as with the arrival of a couple of more mouths to feed ( a 67/1 chance) it means that night times are purely defined by darkness not enjoyable trivial things like sleep . Reading your iPhone while feeding  and winding (twins not me !) isn’t really conducive to getting any sleep ( something to do with the white light stimulating your eyes?) and  you also end up reading a load of crap on sky sports news which is even worse. So I’ve decided to use the time positively and do some proper reading .Having slowly worked my […]