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Backing the homes

Quick comment to make on always excellent Green All Over blog    and in particular one of the stats that was on that post. “Surely a much catchier lede would have been that backing all Homes in England’s top three leagues last season would have been up by:” “How far back you want to go looking for trends is up to the individual. Personally, I think two or three seasons is good,” Certainly thought provoking so I spent a bit of time doing exactly  that and found that while those figures were indeed correct ( and why would thye not be when they have been extracted from the brilliant http://www.football-data.co.uk/data.php  site) If you […]

True Odds pt 2

Always nice when someone takes the time to comment on a blog piece so thanks to “Billy Bunter” for the following: I have always wondered at the accuracy of the RFO True Odds. I do not trust the journalists to use the RFO True Odds prices to select the right bets so was never convinced by the column tips. I would be interested if anyone had used the listed True Prices to place their own bets based on certain criteria like a minimum difference of 3% or something similar. Maybe they have success using different minimum differences or only betting in certain leagues etc. Maybe they constantly over or underestimate […]

True odds True Results

With the football season fast approaching (did it ever end?) I thought it might be interesting to post up some details on the results of the Racing and Football Outlooks True Odds service. For those unfamiliar- they work out the “true odds” (strangely enough given the title) of various football matches with the idea being that if you can then get better odds then that then this is the path to success. As (hopefully) everyone involved in betting knows then this beating of the “true odds” is the only way anyone is really going to succeed in the betting game. There are two issues here  1) The ability to get […]

Time flies

Wow. Time flies when you’ve got screaming kids! Its been over 6 months since the last blog piece and while bloggers normally stop posting because they either have nothing interesting left to say (that never ever stopped me) or its no fun posting about losing, the simple fact is that with three kids under three, time is so limited that every waking moment seems to be taken up. Betting wise its been actually ok. With the emphasis very much on the “ok” though. Golf wise, Jeremy Chapman in the RFO is level for the year although he would have been nicely ahead as he had tipped Justin Rose at the […]

Its Over

And I know it’s over Still I cling I don’t know where else I can go It’s over, it’s over, it’s over I know it’s over And it never really began But in my heart it was so real And you even spoke to me and said: “If you’re so funny Then why are you on your own tonight? And if you’re so clever Then why are you on your own tonight? If you’re so very entertaining Then why are you on your own tonight? If you’re so very good looking Why do you sleep alone tonight? I love the Smiths and any excuse to talk about them. I always […]

Winning together losing on your own….

… is an often repeated manta in the betting industry and one that Ive mentioned a few times in the blog., after all no one ever walked into work and said ” put one hundred pounds on a horse on Saturday and it fell at the first”. Betfair Pro trader is a recent addition to my blog roll and this post sums it up quite nicely. http://www.betfairprotrader.co.uk/2016/06/if-you-must-publish-profit-loss-blog.html . I’d like to think that I’m quite open about how my  escapades into the different markets are faring and recently I’ve noticed that I’ve had a number of questions on the different sports I get involved in. Rather than do one long incredibly boring […]

A lot sappened

That’s (and another!) one straight away for the spelling police to get stuck into. Realised this morning that it was weeks since I had been able to motivate myself to get something onto the blog. I mean its not like there has been a lot going on in the world of sport and betting is it? First off there was Cheltenham and the furore caused by TGP offering silly deals to entice people and then completely shitting themselves when they realised that all the favourites had won and they owed a lot of money. Luckily common sense prevailed and they did a huge u turn and paid out but, you have […]

Being more transparent….

AP’er commented on my last post that “It would be more interesting if you updated your blog at regular intervals rather than simply when you have a good week. Shame could be decent if you were more transparent”..The definition of which is “open,frank,candid”. Im not entirely sure what constitutes “regular intervals’ and having just become a father to not one but two, time consuming, puking, crying and  crapping little beauties its a little difficult to get the time to post on here whether the news is good or bad. However the comment did make me realise that some of my record keeping was a bit flaky (of the home made […]

Bookies and BT….

Both a bit shambolic really . The attached video by Caan Berry is excellent regarding bookies (and gets almost to “rant” status which made me smile!)  Apologies are also due to Caan as he asked me to list his excellent blog on my blogroll ages ago and I never got round to it. Its added now and you can find it here. When I’ve been on the night shifts recently I’ve decided to do something positive with my time and I have been working my way through a selection of his videos on youtube. I’d thoroughly recommend them to anyone interested in trying to understand trading on Betfair or simply […]

No LoveMark!

Jason Lovemark stopped the winning run of the Racing Posts Steve Palmer at the weekend when his 1.5ew 80/1 pick managed to get himself into the lead on Sunday night before making a few double bogeys and bottling it. Despite that setback it was another great weekend of golf betting with Jeremy Chapman coming to the party in the form of Jason Duffner  winning at 40/1. Duffner battled it out with David Lingmerth who was a 70/1 selection from Nics picks so it made for very comfortable and enjoyable viewing and meant that Lovemark was soon forgotten about. Bryan who runs NicsPicks is constantly altering his staking pattern and ideas […]